prathamesh-surve/Gold-Trade-Analysis-Zambia-Zimbabwe-with-BRICS-G7
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socioeconomicCreator:
pra
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Analysis of gold exports from Zimbabwe & Zambia to G7 and BRICS nations (2014–2024) using a Data Pipeline approach. Includes EDA, trade trends, FOB insights, and strategic recommendations for producers and importers. Tools: Python, pandas, seaborn, matplotlib.
Gold Trade of Africa: Zimbabwe & Zambia – G7 vs BRICS Analysis
This repository contains a comprehensive analysis of gold exports from Zimbabwe and Zambia to G7 and BRICS nations between 2014 and 2024, using a Data Pipeline methodology. The project leverages UN Comtrade trade data (HS code 7108) to study export patterns, pricing trends, and geopolitical implications, highlighting the strategic divergence between Western and emerging economies in the global gold market.
Key aspects include:
Data Pipeline Workflow: Extraction, cleaning, preprocessing, and validation of trade data.
Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA): Trend analysis, country-specific insights, FOB value distribution, and trade flow visualizations.
Comparative Study: Contrast of G7 (financial liquidity, ETFs, reserve stability) vs BRICS (physical gold accumulation, de-dollarization, economic sovereignty) strategies.
Forecasting & Strategic Insights: Identification of market trends, key exporters/importers, and policy recommendations for African gold-producing nations and global importers.
Tools & Technologies: Python (pandas, seaborn, matplotlib), Google Colab, Excel, Word, and PDF for analysis and documentation.
Key Findings & Recommendations:
Zimbabwe leads Zambia in gold exports, with BRICS as primary importers.
G7 focuses on digital gold instruments; BRICS emphasizes physical reserves.
Recommendations for Africa: improve refining capacity, enhance traceability, formalize small-scale mining, and sign long-term trade agreements.
Recommendations for importers: promote ethical sourcing, invest in African mining infrastructure, and establish stable long-term contracts.
This repository is intended for researchers, policymakers, and stakeholders interested in global trade analytics, commodity strategy, and economic geopolitics.