xolanincala7-ai/Regression-and-Causal-Analysis-Political-Stability-and-Public-Trust-in-the-Police

Regression analysis using R to examine how political stability, rule of law, and economic conditions shape public trust in the police across 36 African countries, as part of my MA‑E‑Science work. # Regression-and-Causal-Analysis-Political-Stability-and-Public-Trust-in-the-Police Regression analysis using R to examine how political stability, rule of law, and economic conditions shape public trust in the police across 36 African countries, as part of my MA‑E‑Science work. # Political Stability and Public Trust in the Police Part of my MA‑E‑Science portfolio — please read this project (.html file) # Summary This project investigates the relationship between political stability and public trust in the police across 36 African countries. Using data from the World Governance Indicators (WGI, 2022) for political stability and the Ibrahim Index of African Governance (IIAG, 2022) for public trust, the study applies regression analysis to test whether more politically stable countries enjoy higher levels of trust in law enforcement. # Project Preview Screenshot: github.com # Methods Tool: R programming language for regression and causal analysis. # Variables: **Independent** → Political Stability & Absence of Violence (WGI). **Dependent** → Public Trust in Police (IIAG). **Controls** → Rule of Law (WGI) and GDP per capita (WGI). **Approach**: Sequential regression models, correlation matrix, and effect decomposition. # Results Political stability alone showed no significant effect on public trust in police. Rule of Law emerged as a strong positive predictor of trust (p < 0.01). GDP per capita had a significant negative association, suggesting that economic growth does not automatically translate into higher trust. The fully specified model explained just over 50% of the variation in public trust, highlighting the importance of institutional quality over stability alone. **Please read this project (.html)** — it is part of my Master of Arts in E‑Science work, applying data science methods to governance and …